When will Wikitree reach 16 million profiles? (Just for fun)

+19 votes

The front page counter is edging closer and closer to 16,000,000 profiles - 15,922,096 as of writing this - so for a bit of fun, let's see who can come closest to when we're going to cross the line! Answer with the date and time (specify a time zone) and we will see who gets closest to the exact time.

To keep everyone on the same page & provide a bit of data to assist your estimates:

  • Post your guess as an answer before Monday (2017-12-18 20:00 UTC; that's noon in PST)
  • Data for the number of profiles (according to the front page) for the past two months has been posted here: https://goo.gl/eTY8Yw
  • Currently Wikitree is adding ~8500 profiles per day, so extrapolating, it should be somewhere close to 13:00 UTC on Dec 24 (Christmas Eve).
  • UTC is Universal Coordinated Time; it's the same as GMT or Greenwich Mean Time. 
  • I'm not sure if the rate will speed up or slow down during the holidays.
  • I have no prizes; this is just for fun & bragging rights!

(Edit: added clarification on UTC)

asked in The Tree House by JN Murphy G2G6 Mach 4 (44.8k points)
edited by JN Murphy
12.24 on 12.24. :D

10 Answers

+6 votes
Best answer
December 23rd at 22:00 UTC
answered by Darren Kellett G2G6 Mach 7 (71.4k points)
selected by Dorothy Barry
If I am right, this converts to Dec 23rd at 3pm EST or 4 pm CST which is about when we hit the mark. CONGRATULATIONS Darren!!
+11 votes
23 December 10.00 UTC is my guess.
answered by Lynda Crackett G2G6 Pilot (617k points)
+12 votes
December 23, 2017 12pm Central Time
answered by Melissa Austin G2G6 Mach 2 (28.3k points)
+17 votes

December 24 2017 23:59 PM EST , just before Santa hits the roof of Chris Whitten's house.... HO HO HO Merry Christmas!!!!

answered by Dorothy Barry G2G Astronaut (1.2m points)
Looks like you called it Dorothy.
+11 votes
Is this like the Price is Right - the person who gets the closest without going over...?

Regardless, my guess is that I'll be opening my presents - 9 AM EST 25 December 2017 - Merry Christmas!
answered by Scott Fulkerson G2G6 Pilot (344k points)
Just whoever's closest. The only analogy to the Price is Right is that if someone "outbids" you by 1 minute, then you're out of luck!

Merry Christmas to you, too!
+10 votes
20:14 UTC on Dec 24th
answered by Gurney Thompson G2G6 Mach 4 (45.8k points)
Great Guess Gurney!
+6 votes
25 December 2017 12:00 AM Eastern or UTC Time
answered by John Noel G2G6 Pilot (690k points)
edited by John Noel
To clarify, is that Central Time (Dallas / Chicago / Winnipeg) or UTC (London UK / Edinburgh / Dublin)?
Sorry I had a brain ???? I live in Florida. Eastern
Ah, gotcha. I'll add you to the spreadsheet for 2017-12-25 00:00 ET / 07:00 UTC.
+6 votes
27 December 2017 at 19:63 GMT
answered by David Selman G2G6 Pilot (512k points)
+4 votes
I'm going with 26 December, 2017 at 4:00 pm Pacific Time :-) Ho ho ho!
answered by Emma MacBeath G2G6 Pilot (516k points)
+4 votes
Dec 25 12:59 AM EST  :)
answered by Dallace Moore G2G6 Mach 2 (28.9k points)

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