When will Wikitree reach 16 million profiles? (Just for fun)

+19 votes
181 views

The front page counter is edging closer and closer to 16,000,000 profiles - 15,922,096 as of writing this - so for a bit of fun, let's see who can come closest to when we're going to cross the line! Answer with the date and time (specify a time zone) and we will see who gets closest to the exact time.

To keep everyone on the same page & provide a bit of data to assist your estimates:

  • Post your guess as an answer before Monday (2017-12-18 20:00 UTC; that's noon in PST)
  • Data for the number of profiles (according to the front page) for the past two months has been posted here: https://goo.gl/eTY8Yw
  • Currently Wikitree is adding ~8500 profiles per day, so extrapolating, it should be somewhere close to 13:00 UTC on Dec 24 (Christmas Eve).
  • UTC is Universal Coordinated Time; it's the same as GMT or Greenwich Mean Time. 
  • I'm not sure if the rate will speed up or slow down during the holidays.
  • I have no prizes; this is just for fun & bragging rights!

(Edit: added clarification on UTC)

asked Dec 14, 2017 in The Tree House by JN Murphy G2G6 Mach 2 (29,570 points)
edited Dec 14, 2017 by JN Murphy
12.24 on 12.24. :D

10 Answers

+6 votes
 
Best answer
December 23rd at 22:00 UTC
answered Dec 17, 2017 by Darren Kellett G2G6 Mach 5 (51,740 points)
selected Dec 24, 2017 by Dorothy Barry
If I am right, this converts to Dec 23rd at 3pm EST or 4 pm CST which is about when we hit the mark. CONGRATULATIONS Darren!!
+11 votes
23 December 10.00 UTC is my guess.
answered Dec 14, 2017 by Lynda Crackett G2G6 Pilot (396,350 points)
+12 votes
December 23, 2017 12pm Central Time
answered Dec 14, 2017 by Melissa Austin G2G6 Mach 2 (27,580 points)
+17 votes

December 24 2017 23:59 PM EST , just before Santa hits the roof of Chris Whitten's house.... HO HO HO Merry Christmas!!!!

answered Dec 14, 2017 by Dorothy Barry G2G6 Pilot (984,150 points)
Looks like you called it Dorothy.
+11 votes
Is this like the Price is Right - the person who gets the closest without going over...?

Regardless, my guess is that I'll be opening my presents - 9 AM EST 25 December 2017 - Merry Christmas!
answered Dec 14, 2017 by Scott Fulkerson G2G6 Pilot (323,740 points)
Just whoever's closest. The only analogy to the Price is Right is that if someone "outbids" you by 1 minute, then you're out of luck!

Merry Christmas to you, too!
+10 votes
20:14 UTC on Dec 24th
answered Dec 14, 2017 by Gurney Thompson G2G6 Mach 2 (28,600 points)
Great Guess Gurney!
+6 votes
25 December 2017 12:00 AM Eastern or UTC Time
answered Dec 16, 2017 by John Noel G2G6 Pilot (670,650 points)
edited Dec 16, 2017 by John Noel
To clarify, is that Central Time (Dallas / Chicago / Winnipeg) or UTC (London UK / Edinburgh / Dublin)?
Sorry I had a brain ???? I live in Florida. Eastern
Ah, gotcha. I'll add you to the spreadsheet for 2017-12-25 00:00 ET / 07:00 UTC.
+5 votes
27 December 2017 at 19:63 GMT
answered Dec 16, 2017 by David Selman G2G6 Pilot (372,240 points)
+4 votes
I'm going with 26 December, 2017 at 4:00 pm Pacific Time :-) Ho ho ho!
answered Dec 17, 2017 by Emma MacBeath G2G6 Pilot (481,550 points)
+4 votes
Dec 25 12:59 AM EST  :)
answered Dec 17, 2017 by Dallace Moore G2G6 Mach 1 (14,640 points)

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