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Using an excellent 2nd source of collected data on the history of epidemics in England, we can deduce supporting facts that help us understand deaths and changes in circumstances during certain years.
Note: Plans are to expand the citations from his book to cite first hand references used,
A History of Epidemics in Britain (664-1891)
"A History of Epidemics in Britain, from A.D. 664 to the extinction of the Plague", Charles Creighton M.A. M.D., Cambridge at the University Press, 1891, Gutenberg.org: History of Epidemics in Britain, Ch. ___ pg. ___ (accessed [25-Aug-2021]); Ref:42686-h
I have collected quotes in date order to help find relevant passages. The [box] denotes the Chapter and page numbers to trace with the above URL link.
- 1345: As the black death ravages 25-40% of the population, the three estates model is blown away. Nobles didn't have enough labor to work their lands. Nobles began marrying into the Merchant class to infuse their holdings with cash.
- 1471: An outbreak [of the Black Death] in 1471 took as much as 10–15% of the population.
- abt 1481: More than half of all children dead
It's not hard to imagine that many children died during two successive plagues in just 9yrs. Statistically: 15% (1471) then 25% (1479) gives odds of 55% chance of dying that decade of Black Death. [2 * 15% + (1 * 25%) = 55%]
- 1479-1480: The Black Death struck it's worst between 1479-1480. The death toll is estimated at 20% of the population
- 1509: The year Henry VIII takes the crown, it was a Bad plague year. a ‘great plague’ that afflicted various parts of England [Ch4, pg160]
- 1516: In 1516, pestilence spread across England. [Ch4, pg156]
- 1523: The year 1523 was known to be a Plague year. [Ch, pg163]
Please feel free to add citations to the list or update with page refs, this is a work in progress
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