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Steve Adey analysis of Adey and variant Surnames in 1881 Census UK

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Background

This free-space page contains an analysis of occurances of the surname ADEY (and its possible variants) in the UK 1881 Census. It was created as a result of finding the Adey Surname page on the British Surnames website. That page provides an analysis (from the 1881 census data) of the frequency of the Adey surname in the various counties, where it was more common than most. The analysis tries to understand the number of Adey individuals, when compared with the overall population of each county. That British Surnames page also contains information about which census districts have a particular abundance of Adey individuals.

British Surnames Website

Wikipedia says of the surname Adey: "At the time of the British Census of 1881, its relative frequency was highest in Berkshire (10.1 times the British average), followed by Staffordshire, Wiltshire, Cardiganshire, Hampshire, Warwickshire, the Channel Islands, Dorset, County Durham and Gloucestershire."[1]. This statement doesn't seem to match my analysis of the FamilySearch site[2]. However, it is not clear if genealogy research on the FamilySearch (FS) site can be truly considered a random process (since genealealogists tend to follow family lines). The Wikipedia page (above) appears to be based on the data on the BritishSurnames (BS) page for the ADEY Surname[3]. The BS page provides a table of frequency, which are a bit lower than this Family Search analysis, but during a lifetime a person will appear in multiple records in multiple counties. In the 1881 UK Census every person should only have been enumerated once. However, (even when only comparing with the results of a FS "tree search") the same person often appears in multiple trees, as the FamilySearch site is not so strict (as the WikiTree site) in avoiding multiple occurances of the same person.

UK 1881 Census English Counties Population Totals

Various websites give different figures for the overall population of England in 1881 from the United Kingdom census. It is likely that the differences arise from re-analysis that was manually done during the 19th or 20th centuries, or using computers during the 20th or 21st centuries. This table shows the English counties data that was extracted from the BritishSurnames 1881 Census website[4], and then the England total was computed by putting the data into the Google Sheets online spreadsheet app.

All England 1881 Counties - Population & Variant Totals
County Pop. Total ADEYs
Bedfordshire 151,269 SMITH WHITTEMORE
Berkshire 219,285 SMITH FLITTER
Buckinghamshire 176,618 SMITH SEAMONS
Cambridgeshire 185,038 SMITH FROHOCK
Cheshire 644,895 JONES SPANN
Cornwall 330,735 WILLIAMS MURRISH
Cumberland 251,520 GRAHAM EILBECK
Derbyshire 457,365 SMITH ANNABLE
Devon 608,119 HARRIS DAMERELL
Dorset 191,733 WHITE BUGLER
County Durham 869,130 SMITH CLISH
Essex 576,684 SMITH ALLSTON
Gloucestershire 572,966 SMITH BRAZINGTON
Hampshire 598,799 SMITH WOODMORE
Herefordshire 119,789 JONES ECKLEY
Hertfordshire 201,367 SMITH SCRIPPS
Huntingdonshire 58,006 SMITH CULLIP
Kent 996,770 SMITH LYNDS
Lancashire 3,466,597 SMITH ALLRED
Leicestershire 323,909 SMITH HEGGS
Lincolnshire 467,103 SMITH FIDELL
London 2,921,575 SMITH DACOSTA
Northamptonshire 274,774 SMITH FITZHUGH
Norfolk 449,185 SMITH RALLISON
Nottinghamshire 393,775 SMITH LANGSDALE
Northumberland 434,658 THOMPSON STRAUGHAN
Oxfordshire 180,409 SMITH TURRILL
Rutland 21,450 SMITH HIBBITT
Shropshire 252,392 JONES HOOF
Somerset 470,250 SMITH HEMBRY
Staffordshire 986,146 SMITH BEEBEE
Suffolk 355,833 SMITH SPORE
Surrey 1,423,477 SMITH POTIER
Sussex 492,545 SMITH FEARS
Warwickshire 736,768 SMITH SHEASBY
Wiltshire 258,361 SMITH CUNDICK
Westmorland 64,204 ATKINSON ION
Worcestershire 381,500 SMITH HALWARD
Yorkshire 2,895,049 SMITH ATHA
Totals 24,460,048


ADEYs in the 1881 census

Top Counties for Surname Adey
County Total Frequency Index Pop.
Berkshire 71 0.032 10.059 219,285
Staffordshire 230 0.023 7.246 986,146
Wiltshire 46 0.018 5.531 258,361
Cardiganshire / Ceredigion 9 0.013 3.923 71,262
Hampshire 73 0.012 3.787 598,799
Warwickshire 85 0.012 3.584 736,768
Channel Islands 8 0.009 2.871 43,521
Dorset 15 0.008 2.43 191,733
County Durham 66 0.008 2.359 869,130
Gloucestershire 40 0.007 2.169 572,966
Oxfordshire 10 0.006 1.722 180,409
Essex 30 0.005 1.616 576,684
Monmouthshire / Sir Fynwy 10 0.005 1.471 211,193
Derbyshire 21 0.005 1.426 457,365
Hertfordshire 9 0.005 1.389 201,367
Sussex 19 0.004 1.198 492,545
Shropshire 9 0.004 1.108 252,392
Royal Navy 1 0.003 0.892 44,000
Nottinghamshire 10 0.003 0.789 393,775
London 6 0.002 0.659 2,921,575
Worcestershire 8 0.002 0.652 381,500
Kent 20 0.002 0.623 996,770
Leicestershire 6 0.002 0.576 323,909
Surrey 24 0.002 0.524 1,423,477
Herefordshire 2 0.002 0.519 119,789
Yorkshire 46 0.002 0.494 2,895,049
Glamorgan / Morgannwg 4 0.001 0.244 508,681
Lancashire 23 0.001 0.206 3,466,597
Bedfordshire 1 0.001 0.205 151,269
Somerset 2 .0004 0.132 470,250
Northamptonshire 1 0.0004 0.113 274,774
Lanarkshire 3 0.0003 0.099 944,806
Sub-total 964 22,236,147


Comments on Adey Research

When I have treated all A-variant surnames (that are similar to Adey), as if they were actual part of an Adey tree, it will significantly increase the overall Adey-like surname frequency. However, due to overall surname spelling variancy, it is important to eventually include all reasonable surname variants. Even if it were believed that all people with the surname Adey form one relatively recent tree (which it is not), the addition of variants will guarantee that the analysis contains multiple (and many different) trees that are not linked by surname inheritance. There is a natural tension (yet to be resolved) between missing variants that are important and not expanding the study so far that it becomes intractable.

Sources

  1. http://wikipedia.org/wiki/Adey
  2. http://WikiTree.com/wiki/Space:Steve_Adey_analysis_of_Adey_Family_Trees_on_FamilySearch_website
  3. https://britishsurnames.co.uk/surname/adey/1881census
  4. https://britishsurnames.co.uk/1881census

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